Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 28 project a sunny, hot day with a maximum air temperature near 101°F under light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the ongoing regional heat pattern. Model guidance and point forecasts cluster between 99–102°F depending on exact location and timing of peak heating, creating tight market-implied odds between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. High dew points near 70°F produce elevated heat indices near 109°F but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum, while historical August climatology shows typical highs of 95–100°F. The absence of afternoon convection or stronger mixing keeps the outcome sensitive to small forecast adjustments through the afternoon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 28 agosto?
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 9%
$10,647 Vol.
$10,647 Vol.
91°F o meno
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F o superiore
<1%
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 9%
$10,647 Vol.
$10,647 Vol.
91°F o meno
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 28 project a sunny, hot day with a maximum air temperature near 101°F under light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the ongoing regional heat pattern. Model guidance and point forecasts cluster between 99–102°F depending on exact location and timing of peak heating, creating tight market-implied odds between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. High dew points near 70°F produce elevated heat indices near 109°F but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum, while historical August climatology shows typical highs of 95–100°F. The absence of afternoon convection or stronger mixing keeps the outcome sensitive to small forecast adjustments through the afternoon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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