Recent Environment Canada forecasts highlight a primary driver of mild overnight conditions for Toronto on August 30, with a projected minimum near 19°C amid a southwest flow and 60% chance of showers. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in radiative cooling rates, while humidex values near 29°C during the day limit diurnal temperature swings. Model consensus aligns with historical late-August baselines around 16°C minima but reflects warmer anomalies from persistent southerly advection. Key resolution factors include precise hourly observations at Pearson Airport, with traders weighing slight downward revisions possible from clearer breaks or upward shifts if showers persist overnight. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Toronto il 30 agosto?
19°C 35%
20°C 35%
16°C 25%
17°C 25%
14°C o inferiore
15%
15°C
8%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
35%
20°C
35%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
10%
24°C o superiore
15%
19°C 35%
20°C 35%
16°C 25%
17°C 25%
14°C o inferiore
15%
15°C
8%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
35%
20°C
35%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
10%
24°C o superiore
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Environment Canada forecasts highlight a primary driver of mild overnight conditions for Toronto on August 30, with a projected minimum near 19°C amid a southwest flow and 60% chance of showers. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in radiative cooling rates, while humidex values near 29°C during the day limit diurnal temperature swings. Model consensus aligns with historical late-August baselines around 16°C minima but reflects warmer anomalies from persistent southerly advection. Key resolution factors include precise hourly observations at Pearson Airport, with traders weighing slight downward revisions possible from clearer breaks or upward shifts if showers persist overnight. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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