Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate a maximum temperature for Toronto on August 28 most likely between 23–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. A stable ridge with moderate southerly flow is expected to deliver above-normal warmth relative to seasonal normals near 25 °C, yet increased cloud cover and a modest chance of showers will limit peak heating and introduce the observed spread. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence further narrows extremes, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any breaks in cloud cover differentiate the leading 24 °C scenario from adjacent bins. Updated model runs and morning observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Toronto il 28 agosto?
24°C 38%
23°C 31%
25°C 17%
22°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
12%
23°C
31%
24°C
38%
25°C
17%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 31%
25°C 17%
22°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
20°C or below
$1 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$240 Vol.
12%
23°C
$56 Vol.
31%
24°C
$80 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$3 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$289 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate a maximum temperature for Toronto on August 28 most likely between 23–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. A stable ridge with moderate southerly flow is expected to deliver above-normal warmth relative to seasonal normals near 25 °C, yet increased cloud cover and a modest chance of showers will limit peak heating and introduce the observed spread. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence further narrows extremes, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any breaks in cloud cover differentiate the leading 24 °C scenario from adjacent bins. Updated model runs and morning observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$977Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate a maximum temperature for Toronto on August 28 most likely between 23–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. A stable ridge with moderate southerly flow is expected to deliver above-normal warmth relative to seasonal normals near 25 °C, yet increased cloud cover and a modest chance of showers will limit peak heating and introduce the observed spread. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence further narrows extremes, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any breaks in cloud cover differentiate the leading 24 °C scenario from adjacent bins. Updated model runs and morning observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$977Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate a maximum temperature for Toronto on August 28 most likely between 23–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. A stable ridge with moderate southerly flow is expected to deliver above-normal warmth relative to seasonal normals near 25 °C, yet increased cloud cover and a modest chance of showers will limit peak heating and introduce the observed spread. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence further narrows extremes, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any breaks in cloud cover differentiate the leading 24 °C scenario from adjacent bins. Updated model runs and morning observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti