Official forecasts from Environment Canada project clear skies and a low of 10°C for Toronto on the night of August 28 following a cold frontal passage on the 27th, with northerly winds shifting light and enabling strong radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover. Ensemble models show modest spread, with some guidance holding overnight lows near 13–15°C amid slightly higher dew points or lingering moisture, while others align closer to 10–11°C. This uncertainty, combined with typical late-August climatology for the region (normal lows around 14–16°C), supports the market's tightly clustered probabilities across 10–16°C bins as traders weigh the latest model runs and surface observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Toronto il 28 agosto?
10°C o inferiore 50%
20°C o superiore 48%
14°C 28%
16°C 27%
10°C o inferiore
50%
11°C
26%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
24%
16°C
27%
17°C
2%
18°C
25%
19°C
8%
20°C o superiore
48%
10°C o inferiore 50%
20°C o superiore 48%
14°C 28%
16°C 27%
10°C o inferiore
50%
11°C
26%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
24%
16°C
27%
17°C
2%
18°C
25%
19°C
8%
20°C o superiore
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada project clear skies and a low of 10°C for Toronto on the night of August 28 following a cold frontal passage on the 27th, with northerly winds shifting light and enabling strong radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover. Ensemble models show modest spread, with some guidance holding overnight lows near 13–15°C amid slightly higher dew points or lingering moisture, while others align closer to 10–11°C. This uncertainty, combined with typical late-August climatology for the region (normal lows around 14–16°C), supports the market's tightly clustered probabilities across 10–16°C bins as traders weigh the latest model runs and surface observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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