Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 27 maximum temperature centered between 32–33 °C, producing the tight market split between those two outcomes. Late-summer solar insolation remains high at this latitude, yet a gradual seasonal decline in daily highs combines with variable boundary-layer moisture and light northerly flow to create a narrow uncertainty band around peak afternoon values. Clear-sky assumptions favor the upper end of the range, while any increase in high cloud or slightly stronger winds could cap readings at 32 °C. Updated model guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 27 agosto?
33°C 47%
32°C 40%
34°C 13%
31°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
40%
33°C
47%
34°C
13%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
32°C 40%
34°C 13%
31°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
28°C or below
$14 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$67 Vol.
1%
31°C
$28 Vol.
7%
32°C
$125 Vol.
40%
33°C
$150 Vol.
47%
34°C
$41 Vol.
13%
35°C
$0 Vol.
6%
36°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 27 maximum temperature centered between 32–33 °C, producing the tight market split between those two outcomes. Late-summer solar insolation remains high at this latitude, yet a gradual seasonal decline in daily highs combines with variable boundary-layer moisture and light northerly flow to create a narrow uncertainty band around peak afternoon values. Clear-sky assumptions favor the upper end of the range, while any increase in high cloud or slightly stronger winds could cap readings at 32 °C. Updated model guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$954Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 27 maximum temperature centered between 32–33 °C, producing the tight market split between those two outcomes. Late-summer solar insolation remains high at this latitude, yet a gradual seasonal decline in daily highs combines with variable boundary-layer moisture and light northerly flow to create a narrow uncertainty band around peak afternoon values. Clear-sky assumptions favor the upper end of the range, while any increase in high cloud or slightly stronger winds could cap readings at 32 °C. Updated model guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$954Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 27 maximum temperature centered between 32–33 °C, producing the tight market split between those two outcomes. Late-summer solar insolation remains high at this latitude, yet a gradual seasonal decline in daily highs combines with variable boundary-layer moisture and light northerly flow to create a narrow uncertainty band around peak afternoon values. Clear-sky assumptions favor the upper end of the range, while any increase in high cloud or slightly stronger winds could cap readings at 32 °C. Updated model guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti