Current forecast models from agencies including INMET and international ensembles show a warm, dry air mass over São Paulo, supporting daily highs clustering in the 31–33 °C range for August 30 amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity that favor rapid daytime warming but limit extreme peaks. This consensus drives the tight market distribution, with 32 °C leading at 29.5 % implied probability as the modal outcome across runs, while spreads in boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud variations account for the balanced probabilities on adjacent values. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context for the anomaly, though the spell is expected to end with a frontal passage after the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 30 agosto?
32°C 28%
31°C 24%
33°C 14%
30°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
28°C o inferiore
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
24%
32°C
28%
33°C
14%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 28%
31°C 24%
33°C 14%
30°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
28°C o inferiore
$774 Vol.
4%
29°C
$647 Vol.
6%
30°C
$753 Vol.
12%
31°C
$367 Vol.
24%
32°C
$2,375 Vol.
28%
33°C
$984 Vol.
14%
34°C
$907 Vol.
10%
35°C
$114 Vol.
3%
36°C
$84 Vol.
1%
37°C
$847 Vol.
<1%
38°C o superiore
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including INMET and international ensembles show a warm, dry air mass over São Paulo, supporting daily highs clustering in the 31–33 °C range for August 30 amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity that favor rapid daytime warming but limit extreme peaks. This consensus drives the tight market distribution, with 32 °C leading at 29.5 % implied probability as the modal outcome across runs, while spreads in boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud variations account for the balanced probabilities on adjacent values. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context for the anomaly, though the spell is expected to end with a frontal passage after the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Volume
$8,579Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including INMET and international ensembles show a warm, dry air mass over São Paulo, supporting daily highs clustering in the 31–33 °C range for August 30 amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity that favor rapid daytime warming but limit extreme peaks. This consensus drives the tight market distribution, with 32 °C leading at 29.5 % implied probability as the modal outcome across runs, while spreads in boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud variations account for the balanced probabilities on adjacent values. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context for the anomaly, though the spell is expected to end with a frontal passage after the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,579Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including INMET and international ensembles show a warm, dry air mass over São Paulo, supporting daily highs clustering in the 31–33 °C range for August 30 amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity that favor rapid daytime warming but limit extreme peaks. This consensus drives the tight market distribution, with 32 °C leading at 29.5 % implied probability as the modal outcome across runs, while spreads in boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud variations account for the balanced probabilities on adjacent values. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context for the anomaly, though the spell is expected to end with a frontal passage after the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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