Recent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cooler-than-seasonal conditions for Tokyo on August 30, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly flow that limits daytime solar heating and promotes mixing with cooler marine air. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C maxima, consistent with ensemble outputs showing highs near 27–29°C amid 70–90% cloud fractions and light precipitation probabilities. Typical late-August baselines near 31°C are suppressed by these synoptic factors, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any afternoon convection and boundary-layer moisture profiles. New model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 30 agosto?
27°C 29%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
29°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
20%
27°C
29%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 29%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
29°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
$40 Vol.
1%
24°C
$9 Vol.
1%
25°C
$45 Vol.
7%
26°C
$5 Vol.
20%
27°C
$17 Vol.
29%
28°C
$68 Vol.
24%
29°C
$12 Vol.
11%
30°C
$96 Vol.
7%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$80 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$247 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cooler-than-seasonal conditions for Tokyo on August 30, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly flow that limits daytime solar heating and promotes mixing with cooler marine air. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C maxima, consistent with ensemble outputs showing highs near 27–29°C amid 70–90% cloud fractions and light precipitation probabilities. Typical late-August baselines near 31°C are suppressed by these synoptic factors, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any afternoon convection and boundary-layer moisture profiles. New model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$619Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cooler-than-seasonal conditions for Tokyo on August 30, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly flow that limits daytime solar heating and promotes mixing with cooler marine air. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C maxima, consistent with ensemble outputs showing highs near 27–29°C amid 70–90% cloud fractions and light precipitation probabilities. Typical late-August baselines near 31°C are suppressed by these synoptic factors, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any afternoon convection and boundary-layer moisture profiles. New model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$619Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cooler-than-seasonal conditions for Tokyo on August 30, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly flow that limits daytime solar heating and promotes mixing with cooler marine air. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C maxima, consistent with ensemble outputs showing highs near 27–29°C amid 70–90% cloud fractions and light precipitation probabilities. Typical late-August baselines near 31°C are suppressed by these synoptic factors, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any afternoon convection and boundary-layer moisture profiles. New model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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