Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely settle near 22–24°C under persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds following widespread rain on the 29th. These conditions limit radiative cooling while suppressing daytime heating, keeping the daily low close to or slightly below the late-August climatological average of 22.6°C. Model runs show minimal disagreement on steering patterns, with no typhoon or strong frontal systems expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Trader emphasis on the 22°C outcome reflects this narrow forecast range and the market's aggregation of real-time observational updates from automated stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 30 agosto?
22°C 56%
23°C 21%
21°C 17%
20°C 16%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
16%
21°C
17%
22°C
56%
23°C
21%
24°C
15%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
11%
22°C 56%
23°C 21%
21°C 17%
20°C 16%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
16%
21°C
17%
22°C
56%
23°C
21%
24°C
15%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely settle near 22–24°C under persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds following widespread rain on the 29th. These conditions limit radiative cooling while suppressing daytime heating, keeping the daily low close to or slightly below the late-August climatological average of 22.6°C. Model runs show minimal disagreement on steering patterns, with no typhoon or strong frontal systems expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Trader emphasis on the 22°C outcome reflects this narrow forecast range and the market's aggregation of real-time observational updates from automated stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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