Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a transitional late-summer pattern over western Europe, with light westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies positioning Paris for a daily maximum near 23°C on September 1. This consensus drives the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for 23°C and 28.5% for 24°C, as current 48-hour guidance clusters tightly between 22–24°C amid stable high pressure and minimal diurnal heating anomalies. Historical September baselines average 22–24°C for the date, and no significant warm or cool advection is expected before resolution. Traders will watch the next official Météo-France and updated model runs for any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Parigi il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Parigi il 1° settembre?
23°C 42%
24°C 29%
22°C 15%
25°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
20°C or below
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
15%
23°C
42%
24°C
29%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 42%
24°C 29%
22°C 15%
25°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
20°C or below
$81 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$55 Vol.
15%
23°C
$224 Vol.
42%
24°C
$344 Vol.
29%
25°C
$22 Vol.
9%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a transitional late-summer pattern over western Europe, with light westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies positioning Paris for a daily maximum near 23°C on September 1. This consensus drives the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for 23°C and 28.5% for 24°C, as current 48-hour guidance clusters tightly between 22–24°C amid stable high pressure and minimal diurnal heating anomalies. Historical September baselines average 22–24°C for the date, and no significant warm or cool advection is expected before resolution. Traders will watch the next official Météo-France and updated model runs for any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$732Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a transitional late-summer pattern over western Europe, with light westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies positioning Paris for a daily maximum near 23°C on September 1. This consensus drives the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for 23°C and 28.5% for 24°C, as current 48-hour guidance clusters tightly between 22–24°C amid stable high pressure and minimal diurnal heating anomalies. Historical September baselines average 22–24°C for the date, and no significant warm or cool advection is expected before resolution. Traders will watch the next official Météo-France and updated model runs for any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$732Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a transitional late-summer pattern over western Europe, with light westerly to northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies positioning Paris for a daily maximum near 23°C on September 1. This consensus drives the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for 23°C and 28.5% for 24°C, as current 48-hour guidance clusters tightly between 22–24°C amid stable high pressure and minimal diurnal heating anomalies. Historical September baselines average 22–24°C for the date, and no significant warm or cool advection is expected before resolution. Traders will watch the next official Météo-France and updated model runs for any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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