**Forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Globalmeteo, Yr.no, and The Weather Outlook, point to a high of 25–27°C in Munich on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk (under 5–10%).** This aligns with the market’s top outcomes at 27°C (45.5%), 26°C (23.5%), and 28°C (19.5%). Key drivers include a stabilizing high-pressure pattern after earlier thunderstorms on August 28 that brought cooling and rain. Daytime solar heating under reduced cloud cover, combined with the season’s late-summer warmth (climatological average high near 22.6°C), supports afternoon peaks in the mid-to-upper 20s. Model runs show good agreement on dry, stable conditions, though minor differences in cloud timing or wind could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Recent cooling from the prior frontal passage keeps probabilities from shifting higher, while the absence of strong warming signals limits upside beyond 28–29°C. Updated model guidance and any last-minute satellite observations on cloud trends remain the primary near-term catalysts for market movement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco di Baviera il 30 agosto?
27°C 45%
26°C 25%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
25%
27°C
45%
28°C
20%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 25%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
25%
27°C
45%
28°C
20%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Globalmeteo, Yr.no, and The Weather Outlook, point to a high of 25–27°C in Munich on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk (under 5–10%).** This aligns with the market’s top outcomes at 27°C (45.5%), 26°C (23.5%), and 28°C (19.5%). Key drivers include a stabilizing high-pressure pattern after earlier thunderstorms on August 28 that brought cooling and rain. Daytime solar heating under reduced cloud cover, combined with the season’s late-summer warmth (climatological average high near 22.6°C), supports afternoon peaks in the mid-to-upper 20s. Model runs show good agreement on dry, stable conditions, though minor differences in cloud timing or wind could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Recent cooling from the prior frontal passage keeps probabilities from shifting higher, while the absence of strong warming signals limits upside beyond 28–29°C. Updated model guidance and any last-minute satellite observations on cloud trends remain the primary near-term catalysts for market movement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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