Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows near 16°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, well above the 12.6°C climatological average. Milder conditions stem from persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling, though scattered cloud variations and slight wind shifts introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. This forecast spread, combined with historical precedent for occasional cooler August nights, underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring outcomes between 12–14°C while still assigning meaningful probability to 15–16°C. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the resolution range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Monaco di Baviera il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Monaco di Baviera il 30 agosto?
14°C 34%
12°C or below 33%
15°C 29%
16°C 23%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
12°C or below
33%
13°C
30%
14°C
34%
15°C
29%
16°C
23%
17°C
14%
18°C
14%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 34%
12°C or below 33%
15°C 29%
16°C 23%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
33%
13°C
$10 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
34%
15°C
$0 Vol.
29%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$17 Vol.
14%
18°C
$5 Vol.
14%
19°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows near 16°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, well above the 12.6°C climatological average. Milder conditions stem from persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling, though scattered cloud variations and slight wind shifts introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. This forecast spread, combined with historical precedent for occasional cooler August nights, underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring outcomes between 12–14°C while still assigning meaningful probability to 15–16°C. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$63Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows near 16°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, well above the 12.6°C climatological average. Milder conditions stem from persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling, though scattered cloud variations and slight wind shifts introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. This forecast spread, combined with historical precedent for occasional cooler August nights, underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring outcomes between 12–14°C while still assigning meaningful probability to 15–16°C. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows near 16°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, well above the 12.6°C climatological average. Milder conditions stem from persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling, though scattered cloud variations and slight wind shifts introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. This forecast spread, combined with historical precedent for occasional cooler August nights, underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds favoring outcomes between 12–14°C while still assigning meaningful probability to 15–16°C. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the resolution range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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