Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a highest temperature near 64–68°F for San Francisco on September 1, shaped by persistent troughing along the West Coast that keeps 850 mb temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms. Onshore southwest flow and a deepening marine layer promote daytime cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon warming despite clear periods later in the day. This pattern aligns with late-August observations of highs in the low-to-mid 60s and historical September averages near 70°F that are currently suppressed by stronger-than-normal onshore advection. Trader emphasis on the tightly bunched 66–71°F bins reflects model spread around marine-layer depth and wind trajectory, with resolution hinging on the final NWS forecast update and official observation at the downtown or airport station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 1° settembre?
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 23%
62-63°F 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
59°F o meno
3%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
4%
78°F o superiore
1%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 23%
62-63°F 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
59°F o meno
$0 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
6%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
16%
64-65°F
$31 Vol.
12%
66-67°F
$129 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$18 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
23%
72-73°F
$6 Vol.
12%
74-75°F
$200 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
4%
78°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a highest temperature near 64–68°F for San Francisco on September 1, shaped by persistent troughing along the West Coast that keeps 850 mb temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms. Onshore southwest flow and a deepening marine layer promote daytime cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon warming despite clear periods later in the day. This pattern aligns with late-August observations of highs in the low-to-mid 60s and historical September averages near 70°F that are currently suppressed by stronger-than-normal onshore advection. Trader emphasis on the tightly bunched 66–71°F bins reflects model spread around marine-layer depth and wind trajectory, with resolution hinging on the final NWS forecast update and official observation at the downtown or airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$390Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a highest temperature near 64–68°F for San Francisco on September 1, shaped by persistent troughing along the West Coast that keeps 850 mb temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms. Onshore southwest flow and a deepening marine layer promote daytime cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon warming despite clear periods later in the day. This pattern aligns with late-August observations of highs in the low-to-mid 60s and historical September averages near 70°F that are currently suppressed by stronger-than-normal onshore advection. Trader emphasis on the tightly bunched 66–71°F bins reflects model spread around marine-layer depth and wind trajectory, with resolution hinging on the final NWS forecast update and official observation at the downtown or airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$390Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a highest temperature near 64–68°F for San Francisco on September 1, shaped by persistent troughing along the West Coast that keeps 850 mb temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms. Onshore southwest flow and a deepening marine layer promote daytime cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon warming despite clear periods later in the day. This pattern aligns with late-August observations of highs in the low-to-mid 60s and historical September averages near 70°F that are currently suppressed by stronger-than-normal onshore advection. Trader emphasis on the tightly bunched 66–71°F bins reflects model spread around marine-layer depth and wind trajectory, with resolution hinging on the final NWS forecast update and official observation at the downtown or airport station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti