**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 25°C for Panama City, Panama, on September 1, consistent with the rainy-season climatology of 24–26°C overnight lows driven by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling.** Trader sentiment, with 26°C holding the highest implied probability at 42.5% and 25°C at 26%, reflects tight model consensus around these values amid typical ITCZ-driven moisture and scattered thunderstorms, which moderate temperature drops. The notable 34% on 29°C or higher likely captures residual uncertainty in any clearing that could reduce cooling, while lower outcomes (23°C and below) remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection or unusual subsidence in short-range guidance. Updated model runs from agencies such as NOAA and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst refining these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Panama City il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Panama City il 1° settembre?
29°C or higher 67%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
26°C 43%
$10 Vol.
$10 Vol.
1 set 2026
19°C or below
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
29°C or higher 67%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
26°C 43%
$10 Vol.
$10 Vol.
1 set 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$5 Vol.
No
21°C
$0 Vol.
No
22°C
$0 Vol.
No
23°C
$0 Vol.
No
24°C
$5 Vol.
No
25°C
$0 Vol.
No
26°C
$0 Vol.
No
27°C
$0 Vol.
No
28°C
$0 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 25°C for Panama City, Panama, on September 1, consistent with the rainy-season climatology of 24–26°C overnight lows driven by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling.**
Trader sentiment, with 26°C holding the highest implied probability at 42.5% and 25°C at 26%, reflects tight model consensus around these values amid typical ITCZ-driven moisture and scattered thunderstorms, which moderate temperature drops. The notable 34% on 29°C or higher likely captures residual uncertainty in any clearing that could reduce cooling, while lower outcomes (23°C and below) remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection or unusual subsidence in short-range guidance. Updated model runs from agencies such as NOAA and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst refining these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volume
$10Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 8:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 25°C for Panama City, Panama, on September 1, consistent with the rainy-season climatology of 24–26°C overnight lows driven by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling.**
Trader sentiment, with 26°C holding the highest implied probability at 42.5% and 25°C at 26%, reflects tight model consensus around these values amid typical ITCZ-driven moisture and scattered thunderstorms, which moderate temperature drops. The notable 34% on 29°C or higher likely captures residual uncertainty in any clearing that could reduce cooling, while lower outcomes (23°C and below) remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection or unusual subsidence in short-range guidance. Updated model runs from agencies such as NOAA and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst refining these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 8:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 25°C for Panama City, Panama, on September 1, consistent with the rainy-season climatology of 24–26°C overnight lows driven by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling.** Trader sentiment, with 26°C holding the highest implied probability at 42.5% and 25°C at 26%, reflects tight model consensus around these values amid typical ITCZ-driven moisture and scattered thunderstorms, which moderate temperature drops. The notable 34% on 29°C or higher likely captures residual uncertainty in any clearing that could reduce cooling, while lower outcomes (23°C and below) remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection or unusual subsidence in short-range guidance. Updated model runs from agencies such as NOAA and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst refining these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti