Recent ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and Meteo-France indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 24–26°C for Paris on September 2, with the highest probability centered on 25°C due to a stable high-pressure ridge promoting modest daytime warming under mostly clear skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any Atlantic front passage, low-level wind direction affecting warm-air advection, and boundary-layer mixing that modulates peak readings by 1–2°C. With the event only two days away, model spread remains limited but still produces the observed market dispersion, as small shifts in predicted cloud cover or dew points can tip the daily maximum across the 24–26°C thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Parigi il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Parigi il 2 settembre?
25°C 38%
26°C 29%
24°C 21%
27°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
21%
25°C
38%
26°C
29%
27°C
14%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 38%
26°C 29%
24°C 21%
27°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
20°C or below
$416 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$201 Vol.
1%
22°C
$389 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,242 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,197 Vol.
21%
25°C
$1,086 Vol.
38%
26°C
$1,405 Vol.
29%
27°C
$1,016 Vol.
14%
28°C
$113 Vol.
1%
29°C
$931 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and Meteo-France indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 24–26°C for Paris on September 2, with the highest probability centered on 25°C due to a stable high-pressure ridge promoting modest daytime warming under mostly clear skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any Atlantic front passage, low-level wind direction affecting warm-air advection, and boundary-layer mixing that modulates peak readings by 1–2°C. With the event only two days away, model spread remains limited but still produces the observed market dispersion, as small shifts in predicted cloud cover or dew points can tip the daily maximum across the 24–26°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$9,187Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and Meteo-France indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 24–26°C for Paris on September 2, with the highest probability centered on 25°C due to a stable high-pressure ridge promoting modest daytime warming under mostly clear skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any Atlantic front passage, low-level wind direction affecting warm-air advection, and boundary-layer mixing that modulates peak readings by 1–2°C. With the event only two days away, model spread remains limited but still produces the observed market dispersion, as small shifts in predicted cloud cover or dew points can tip the daily maximum across the 24–26°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,187Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and Meteo-France indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 24–26°C for Paris on September 2, with the highest probability centered on 25°C due to a stable high-pressure ridge promoting modest daytime warming under mostly clear skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any Atlantic front passage, low-level wind direction affecting warm-air advection, and boundary-layer mixing that modulates peak readings by 1–2°C. With the event only two days away, model spread remains limited but still produces the observed market dispersion, as small shifts in predicted cloud cover or dew points can tip the daily maximum across the 24–26°C thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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