**Current forecast models for Panama City on September 2 point to a daytime maximum near 29–31°C, with market odds tightly clustered around 31–32°C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective timing.** El Niño conditions, now strengthening with over 90% probability of continuation through late 2026, are suppressing typical rainy-season cloud cover and rainfall across Panama’s Pacific slope, allowing greater solar heating and elevating daytime temperatures above the 30°C September climatological average. Key variables differentiating the leading outcomes include the exact onset and coverage of thunderstorms—earlier or more widespread convection tends to limit peaks near 31°C, while delayed or scattered activity permits brief excursions to 32–33°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and recent model runs show modest spread consistent with this market distribution, with resolution hinging on short-term steering patterns and local moisture availability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 2 settembre?
32°C 31%
31°C 28%
33°C or higher 24%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
14%
31°C
28%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
24%
32°C 31%
31°C 28%
33°C or higher 24%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
14%
31°C
28%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models for Panama City on September 2 point to a daytime maximum near 29–31°C, with market odds tightly clustered around 31–32°C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective timing.** El Niño conditions, now strengthening with over 90% probability of continuation through late 2026, are suppressing typical rainy-season cloud cover and rainfall across Panama’s Pacific slope, allowing greater solar heating and elevating daytime temperatures above the 30°C September climatological average. Key variables differentiating the leading outcomes include the exact onset and coverage of thunderstorms—earlier or more widespread convection tends to limit peaks near 31°C, while delayed or scattered activity permits brief excursions to 32–33°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and recent model runs show modest spread consistent with this market distribution, with resolution hinging on short-term steering patterns and local moisture availability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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