Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European models indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms typical of the early rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer periods, aligning with historical September averages of 22–24°C highs and low probabilities of extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short-term window, with any shifts likely tied to exact storm timing or localized clearing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, as updated runs through September 1 continue to favor moderate outcomes over outliers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 2 settembre?
24°C 41%
23°C 27%
25°C 18%
22°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
27%
24°C
41%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
6%
24°C 41%
23°C 27%
25°C 18%
22°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
16°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$181 Vol.
1%
19°C
$155 Vol.
1%
20°C
$95 Vol.
2%
21°C
$56 Vol.
3%
22°C
$211 Vol.
8%
23°C
$310 Vol.
27%
24°C
$124 Vol.
41%
25°C
$237 Vol.
18%
26°C or higher
$135 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European models indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms typical of the early rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer periods, aligning with historical September averages of 22–24°C highs and low probabilities of extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short-term window, with any shifts likely tied to exact storm timing or localized clearing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, as updated runs through September 1 continue to favor moderate outcomes over outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,897Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European models indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms typical of the early rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer periods, aligning with historical September averages of 22–24°C highs and low probabilities of extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short-term window, with any shifts likely tied to exact storm timing or localized clearing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, as updated runs through September 1 continue to favor moderate outcomes over outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,897Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European models indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms typical of the early rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer periods, aligning with historical September averages of 22–24°C highs and low probabilities of extremes above 26°C or below 22°C. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short-term window, with any shifts likely tied to exact storm timing or localized clearing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, as updated runs through September 1 continue to favor moderate outcomes over outliers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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