Current model consensus from sources like GFS and European forecasts indicates overnight lows in Paris on September 2 will likely reach 13–14°C under high pressure near 1023 hPa, light northerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that allow radiative cooling. These stable conditions, typical for early September with no incoming fronts or significant moisture, position 14°C (51.5% implied probability) and 13°C (37.5%) as the leading outcomes. Historical analogs and recent runs show minimal deviation, with traders weighting the narrow uncertainty range in numerical weather prediction outputs. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine dew point and cloud-cover details ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 2 settembre?
16°C 36%
13°C 36%
14°C 32%
15°C 31%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
9%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
36%
14°C
32%
15°C
31%
16°C
36%
17°C
14%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C o superiore
1%
16°C 36%
13°C 36%
14°C 32%
15°C 31%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
9%
12°C
$20 Vol.
9%
13°C
$106 Vol.
36%
14°C
$218 Vol.
32%
15°C
$3 Vol.
31%
16°C
$20 Vol.
36%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$45 Vol.
2%
19°C
$45 Vol.
1%
20°C o superiore
$66 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources like GFS and European forecasts indicates overnight lows in Paris on September 2 will likely reach 13–14°C under high pressure near 1023 hPa, light northerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that allow radiative cooling. These stable conditions, typical for early September with no incoming fronts or significant moisture, position 14°C (51.5% implied probability) and 13°C (37.5%) as the leading outcomes. Historical analogs and recent runs show minimal deviation, with traders weighting the narrow uncertainty range in numerical weather prediction outputs. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine dew point and cloud-cover details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$524Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources like GFS and European forecasts indicates overnight lows in Paris on September 2 will likely reach 13–14°C under high pressure near 1023 hPa, light northerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that allow radiative cooling. These stable conditions, typical for early September with no incoming fronts or significant moisture, position 14°C (51.5% implied probability) and 13°C (37.5%) as the leading outcomes. Historical analogs and recent runs show minimal deviation, with traders weighting the narrow uncertainty range in numerical weather prediction outputs. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine dew point and cloud-cover details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$524Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources like GFS and European forecasts indicates overnight lows in Paris on September 2 will likely reach 13–14°C under high pressure near 1023 hPa, light northerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that allow radiative cooling. These stable conditions, typical for early September with no incoming fronts or significant moisture, position 14°C (51.5% implied probability) and 13°C (37.5%) as the leading outcomes. Historical analogs and recent runs show minimal deviation, with traders weighting the narrow uncertainty range in numerical weather prediction outputs. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine dew point and cloud-cover details ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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