Current forecast models from sources like GFS project overnight minimum temperatures in Panama City around 25°C for September 4, consistent with the city's September climatology of 24°C average lows during the rainy season. High humidity near 90% combined with frequent cloud cover and showers restricts nocturnal radiative cooling, maintaining elevated minimums typical of tropical maritime conditions. Recent observations show steady overnight readings in the mid-20s Celsius amid light winds, supporting the market's leading 26°C outcome at 55% implied probability. Traders price in modest uncertainty from potential model revisions or localized variations, with lower odds on extremes reflecting historical rarity of significant deviations this time of year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Panama City il 4 settembre?
29°C o superiore 80%
19°C o inferiore 77%
22°C 76%
23°C 75%
19°C o inferiore
77%
20°C
74%
21°C
74%
22°C
76%
23°C
75%
24°C
30%
25°C
38%
26°C
56%
27°C
34%
28°C
75%
29°C o superiore
80%
29°C o superiore 80%
19°C o inferiore 77%
22°C 76%
23°C 75%
19°C o inferiore
77%
20°C
74%
21°C
74%
22°C
76%
23°C
75%
24°C
30%
25°C
38%
26°C
56%
27°C
34%
28°C
75%
29°C o superiore
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS project overnight minimum temperatures in Panama City around 25°C for September 4, consistent with the city's September climatology of 24°C average lows during the rainy season. High humidity near 90% combined with frequent cloud cover and showers restricts nocturnal radiative cooling, maintaining elevated minimums typical of tropical maritime conditions. Recent observations show steady overnight readings in the mid-20s Celsius amid light winds, supporting the market's leading 26°C outcome at 55% implied probability. Traders price in modest uncertainty from potential model revisions or localized variations, with lower odds on extremes reflecting historical rarity of significant deviations this time of year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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