Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate mostly clear skies and northerly flow over Incheon on September 3, supporting daytime highs near 29–31°C under moderate humidity and light winds. This pattern aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where transitioning monsoon influences and reduced cloud cover allow sufficient solar heating without extreme warmth. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47% and 34.5% implied probabilities for 30°C and 31°C, incorporates these model runs while acknowledging typical forecast spread of 1–2°C and the potential for minor revisions as new data emerge closer to the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 3 settembre?
30°C 47%
31°C 34%
29°C 13%
32°C 6%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
47%
31°C
34%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
31°C 34%
29°C 13%
32°C 6%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
47%
31°C
34%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate mostly clear skies and northerly flow over Incheon on September 3, supporting daytime highs near 29–31°C under moderate humidity and light winds. This pattern aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where transitioning monsoon influences and reduced cloud cover allow sufficient solar heating without extreme warmth. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47% and 34.5% implied probabilities for 30°C and 31°C, incorporates these model runs while acknowledging typical forecast spread of 1–2°C and the potential for minor revisions as new data emerge closer to the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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