**Latest multi-model forecasts converge on a maximum temperature of 26–28°C in São Paulo on September 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly or northwesterly flow.** This setup favors daytime radiative heating as high pressure builds, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supporting efficient warming once morning cloud cover clears. Official guidance from sources such as Met Office, Worldmeteo, and regional models shows afternoon peaks clustered around 25–28°C, consistent with early-spring climatology when average September highs reach the low-to-mid 20s. Trader consensus reflected in the market—27°C leading at 44 % implied probability, followed by 26 °C (28 %) and 28 °C (16.5 %)—captures the narrow spread among deterministic and ensemble runs, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 25 °C or above 29 °C. Final resolution will depend on the highest verified reading from official stations tomorrow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 3 settembre?
27°C 43%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 6%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
28%
27°C
43%
28°C
18%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 43%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 6%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
28%
27°C
43%
28°C
18%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Latest multi-model forecasts converge on a maximum temperature of 26–28°C in São Paulo on September 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly or northwesterly flow.** This setup favors daytime radiative heating as high pressure builds, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supporting efficient warming once morning cloud cover clears. Official guidance from sources such as Met Office, Worldmeteo, and regional models shows afternoon peaks clustered around 25–28°C, consistent with early-spring climatology when average September highs reach the low-to-mid 20s. Trader consensus reflected in the market—27°C leading at 44 % implied probability, followed by 26 °C (28 %) and 28 °C (16.5 %)—captures the narrow spread among deterministic and ensemble runs, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 25 °C or above 29 °C. Final resolution will depend on the highest verified reading from official stations tomorrow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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