**Persistent tropical moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of Tropical Depression Edouard are the main drivers keeping overnight lows elevated near 78–79°F for Houston on September 4, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for upper 70s under partly to mostly cloudy skies and 50–60% storm chances.** Southerly to southeasterly flow advects humid air (dew points in the mid-70s), limiting radiational cooling despite light winds, while scattered showers and thunderstorms add downward longwave radiation that prevents temperatures from falling further. This setup supports the 78–79°F bin as the most likely minimum, consistent with climatological averages around 75°F but nudged higher by the ongoing moisture plume. The competing 88°F+ outcome reflects trader uncertainty over whether persistent overcast conditions or heavier rain could suppress cooling enough to keep the daily minimum anomalously warm, a scenario that would require stronger low-level warm advection or stalled convection. Model consensus favors gradual clearing overnight, favoring the lower range, though any delay in storm dissipation could shift the outcome toward the higher bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Houston il 4 settembre?
88°F o superiore 71%
69°F o inferiore 53%
78-79°F 50%
72-73°F 49%
69°F o inferiore
53%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
49%
88°F o superiore
71%
88°F o superiore 71%
69°F o inferiore 53%
78-79°F 50%
72-73°F 49%
69°F o inferiore
53%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
49%
88°F o superiore
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent tropical moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of Tropical Depression Edouard are the main drivers keeping overnight lows elevated near 78–79°F for Houston on September 4, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for upper 70s under partly to mostly cloudy skies and 50–60% storm chances.** Southerly to southeasterly flow advects humid air (dew points in the mid-70s), limiting radiational cooling despite light winds, while scattered showers and thunderstorms add downward longwave radiation that prevents temperatures from falling further. This setup supports the 78–79°F bin as the most likely minimum, consistent with climatological averages around 75°F but nudged higher by the ongoing moisture plume. The competing 88°F+ outcome reflects trader uncertainty over whether persistent overcast conditions or heavier rain could suppress cooling enough to keep the daily minimum anomalously warm, a scenario that would require stronger low-level warm advection or stalled convection. Model consensus favors gradual clearing overnight, favoring the lower range, though any delay in storm dissipation could shift the outcome toward the higher bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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