**Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, centers on the narrow 76–79°F range (83% combined probability), with 78–79°F edging out 76–77°F.** This reflects National Weather Service zone forecasts and private model guidance pointing to sunny conditions under persistent onshore flow, producing daytime highs near or slightly above the early-September climatological average of ~77°F at key stations. Primary scientific drivers include the marine layer and sea-breeze circulation typical of late summer in the Los Angeles basin. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph advect cooler Pacific air inland, moderating maximum temperatures even as high pressure supports clear skies and strong solar heating. Ensemble and deterministic runs show afternoon peaks clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s inland (downtown/LA basin stations), with beaches and LAX-area readings several degrees cooler due to proximity to the ocean. Recent days have followed this pattern, with highs around 82–85°F on August 31–September 1 before a slight easing. Model spread and microclimate effects create the tight bracket between 76–77°F and 78–79°F; small shifts in wind timing or boundary-layer mixing could tip the official daily maximum either way. Higher outcomes (80°F+) carry low probability because no offshore Santa Ana flow or anomalous warming is indicated in current guidance. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning model runs on September 1–2 will be the key catalysts for any late adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 2 settembre?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 21%
80-81°F 7%
65°F o inferiore
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
7%
84°F o superiore
1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 21%
80-81°F 7%
65°F o inferiore
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
7%
84°F o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, centers on the narrow 76–79°F range (83% combined probability), with 78–79°F edging out 76–77°F.** This reflects National Weather Service zone forecasts and private model guidance pointing to sunny conditions under persistent onshore flow, producing daytime highs near or slightly above the early-September climatological average of ~77°F at key stations. Primary scientific drivers include the marine layer and sea-breeze circulation typical of late summer in the Los Angeles basin. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph advect cooler Pacific air inland, moderating maximum temperatures even as high pressure supports clear skies and strong solar heating. Ensemble and deterministic runs show afternoon peaks clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s inland (downtown/LA basin stations), with beaches and LAX-area readings several degrees cooler due to proximity to the ocean. Recent days have followed this pattern, with highs around 82–85°F on August 31–September 1 before a slight easing. Model spread and microclimate effects create the tight bracket between 76–77°F and 78–79°F; small shifts in wind timing or boundary-layer mixing could tip the official daily maximum either way. Higher outcomes (80°F+) carry low probability because no offshore Santa Ana flow or anomalous warming is indicated in current guidance. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning model runs on September 1–2 will be the key catalysts for any late adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti