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icon for La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 2 settembre?

La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 2 settembre?

icon for La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 2 settembre?

La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 2 settembre?

78-79°F 42%

76-77°F 41%

74-75°F 21%

80-81°F 7%

Polymarket
NUOVO

78-79°F 42%

76-77°F 41%

74-75°F 21%

80-81°F 7%

Polymarket
NUOVO

65°F o inferiore

$5 Vol.

<1%

66-67°F

$5 Vol.

<1%

68-69°F

$5 Vol.

1%

70-71°F

$5 Vol.

1%

72-73°F

$5 Vol.

1%

74-75°F

$4 Vol.

21%

76-77°F

$66 Vol.

41%

78-79°F

$10 Vol.

42%

80-81°F

$5 Vol.

7%

82-83°F

$5 Vol.

7%

84°F o superiore

$5 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, centers on the narrow 76–79°F range (83% combined probability), with 78–79°F edging out 76–77°F.** This reflects National Weather Service zone forecasts and private model guidance pointing to sunny conditions under persistent onshore flow, producing daytime highs near or slightly above the early-September climatological average of ~77°F at key stations. Primary scientific drivers include the marine layer and sea-breeze circulation typical of late summer in the Los Angeles basin. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph advect cooler Pacific air inland, moderating maximum temperatures even as high pressure supports clear skies and strong solar heating. Ensemble and deterministic runs show afternoon peaks clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s inland (downtown/LA basin stations), with beaches and LAX-area readings several degrees cooler due to proximity to the ocean. Recent days have followed this pattern, with highs around 82–85°F on August 31–September 1 before a slight easing. Model spread and microclimate effects create the tight bracket between 76–77°F and 78–79°F; small shifts in wind timing or boundary-layer mixing could tip the official daily maximum either way. Higher outcomes (80°F+) carry low probability because no offshore Santa Ana flow or anomalous warming is indicated in current guidance. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning model runs on September 1–2 will be the key catalysts for any late adjustments before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$120
Data di fine
2 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, centers on the narrow 76–79°F range (83% combined probability), with 78–79°F edging out 76–77°F.** This reflects National Weather Service zone forecasts and private model guidance pointing to sunny conditions under persistent onshore flow, producing daytime highs near or slightly above the early-September climatological average of ~77°F at key stations. Primary scientific drivers include the marine layer and sea-breeze circulation typical of late summer in the Los Angeles basin. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph advect cooler Pacific air inland, moderating maximum temperatures even as high pressure supports clear skies and strong solar heating. Ensemble and deterministic runs show afternoon peaks clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s inland (downtown/LA basin stations), with beaches and LAX-area readings several degrees cooler due to proximity to the ocean. Recent days have followed this pattern, with highs around 82–85°F on August 31–September 1 before a slight easing. Model spread and microclimate effects create the tight bracket between 76–77°F and 78–79°F; small shifts in wind timing or boundary-layer mixing could tip the official daily maximum either way. Higher outcomes (80°F+) carry low probability because no offshore Santa Ana flow or anomalous warming is indicated in current guidance. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning model runs on September 1–2 will be the key catalysts for any late adjustments before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$120
Data di fine
2 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Domande frequenti

"La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 2 settembre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "78-79°F" a 42%, seguito da "76-77°F" a 41%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 42¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 2 settembre?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 31, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 2 settembre?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 2 settembre?" è "78-79°F" a 42%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "76-77°F" a 41%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 2 settembre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.