Persistent marine layer and onshore southwesterly flow are capping San Francisco temperatures near or slightly below the 69–70°F September 2 climatological average, with current forecasts centering on highs of 66–68°F under mostly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest warming potential only if the layer thins enough for afternoon sun, creating the tight 70–71°F versus 72–73°F market split; stronger onshore winds or deeper stratus would instead favor the lower-probability 68–69°F outcome. Historical analogs indicate that early-September marine intrusions often suppress peaks by 5–10°F below clear-sky potential, while any ridge strengthening could briefly allow low-70s readings before the next trough arrives.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 2 settembre?
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 36%
68-69°F 13%
66-67°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
63°F o inferiore
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 36%
68-69°F 13%
66-67°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
63°F o inferiore
$323 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$87 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$127 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$187 Vol.
13%
70-71°F
$105 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$200 Vol.
36%
74-75°F
$135 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$171 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$182 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
82°F o superiore
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore southwesterly flow are capping San Francisco temperatures near or slightly below the 69–70°F September 2 climatological average, with current forecasts centering on highs of 66–68°F under mostly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest warming potential only if the layer thins enough for afternoon sun, creating the tight 70–71°F versus 72–73°F market split; stronger onshore winds or deeper stratus would instead favor the lower-probability 68–69°F outcome. Historical analogs indicate that early-September marine intrusions often suppress peaks by 5–10°F below clear-sky potential, while any ridge strengthening could briefly allow low-70s readings before the next trough arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,528Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore southwesterly flow are capping San Francisco temperatures near or slightly below the 69–70°F September 2 climatological average, with current forecasts centering on highs of 66–68°F under mostly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest warming potential only if the layer thins enough for afternoon sun, creating the tight 70–71°F versus 72–73°F market split; stronger onshore winds or deeper stratus would instead favor the lower-probability 68–69°F outcome. Historical analogs indicate that early-September marine intrusions often suppress peaks by 5–10°F below clear-sky potential, while any ridge strengthening could briefly allow low-70s readings before the next trough arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,528Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore southwesterly flow are capping San Francisco temperatures near or slightly below the 69–70°F September 2 climatological average, with current forecasts centering on highs of 66–68°F under mostly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest warming potential only if the layer thins enough for afternoon sun, creating the tight 70–71°F versus 72–73°F market split; stronger onshore winds or deeper stratus would instead favor the lower-probability 68–69°F outcome. Historical analogs indicate that early-September marine intrusions often suppress peaks by 5–10°F below clear-sky potential, while any ridge strengthening could briefly allow low-70s readings before the next trough arrives.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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