**Current National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center guidance highlights a weak low-pressure system and tropical moisture (Invest AL97) approaching the upper Texas coast and southwest Louisiana on September 1, supporting scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms with locally heavy rain rates.** Elevated precipitable water values near or above 2 inches, combined with a frontal boundary shifting eastward from the Plains, increase the likelihood of measurable precipitation across parts of the central and southern Gulf Coast, Florida Peninsula (via sea-breeze convergence), and portions of the Northeast and Great Lakes region. In contrast, drier conditions are favored over much of the interior West and Pacific Northwest. Official short-range models show timing and intensity differences, with the latest WPC Day 2 excessive rainfall outlook assigning only a slight risk along the western Gulf Coast. New 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus any National Hurricane Center updates on tropical activity, will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove pioverà il 1° settembre?
New York, NY
87%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
65%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
85%
Denver, CO
31%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
70%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
86%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$0.00 Vol.
New York, NY
87%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
65%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
85%
Denver, CO
31%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
70%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
86%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Current National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center guidance highlights a weak low-pressure system and tropical moisture (Invest AL97) approaching the upper Texas coast and southwest Louisiana on September 1, supporting scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms with locally heavy rain rates.** Elevated precipitable water values near or above 2 inches, combined with a frontal boundary shifting eastward from the Plains, increase the likelihood of measurable precipitation across parts of the central and southern Gulf Coast, Florida Peninsula (via sea-breeze convergence), and portions of the Northeast and Great Lakes region. In contrast, drier conditions are favored over much of the interior West and Pacific Northwest. Official short-range models show timing and intensity differences, with the latest WPC Day 2 excessive rainfall outlook assigning only a slight risk along the western Gulf Coast. New 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus any National Hurricane Center updates on tropical activity, will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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