**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of around 15°C for São Paulo on September 4, 2026, under stable conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This aligns with the market-implied 77.5% probability for 15°C as the day's low, driven by official model consensus showing overnight readings bottoming near that threshold before any frontal influence. Recent data indicate the approaching cold front and polar air mass will primarily impact temperatures starting September 5–6, leaving September 4's diurnal range largely unaffected with highs near 26–28°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term observational trends and short-range model agreement heavily, assigning lower odds to 14°C or below given the absence of rapid cooling signals in the latest guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a San Paolo il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a San Paolo il 4 settembre?
15°C 77%
13°C o inferiore 16%
14°C 16%
16°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
16%
14°C
16%
15°C
77%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 77%
13°C o inferiore 16%
14°C 16%
16°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
$12 Vol.
16%
14°C
$2 Vol.
16%
15°C
$179 Vol.
77%
16°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$308 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
23°C o superiore
$162 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of around 15°C for São Paulo on September 4, 2026, under stable conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This aligns with the market-implied 77.5% probability for 15°C as the day's low, driven by official model consensus showing overnight readings bottoming near that threshold before any frontal influence. Recent data indicate the approaching cold front and polar air mass will primarily impact temperatures starting September 5–6, leaving September 4's diurnal range largely unaffected with highs near 26–28°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term observational trends and short-range model agreement heavily, assigning lower odds to 14°C or below given the absence of rapid cooling signals in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,666Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of around 15°C for São Paulo on September 4, 2026, under stable conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This aligns with the market-implied 77.5% probability for 15°C as the day's low, driven by official model consensus showing overnight readings bottoming near that threshold before any frontal influence. Recent data indicate the approaching cold front and polar air mass will primarily impact temperatures starting September 5–6, leaving September 4's diurnal range largely unaffected with highs near 26–28°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term observational trends and short-range model agreement heavily, assigning lower odds to 14°C or below given the absence of rapid cooling signals in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,666Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a minimum temperature of around 15°C for São Paulo on September 4, 2026, under stable conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This aligns with the market-implied 77.5% probability for 15°C as the day's low, driven by official model consensus showing overnight readings bottoming near that threshold before any frontal influence. Recent data indicate the approaching cold front and polar air mass will primarily impact temperatures starting September 5–6, leaving September 4's diurnal range largely unaffected with highs near 26–28°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term observational trends and short-range model agreement heavily, assigning lower odds to 14°C or below given the absence of rapid cooling signals in the latest guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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