Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance indicates mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Paris on September 4, supporting a daily high near 28–30°C driven by moderate southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. This positions 29°C and 28°C as the leading outcomes in trader sentiment, reflecting above-average early-September values while remaining well below historical extremes. Low precipitation probabilities and stable high pressure further reduce downside risks for cooler readings. As the date nears, updated model runs and observational data will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Parigi il 4 settembre?
29°C 35%
28°C 30%
30°C 13%
27°C 10%
24°C o inferiore
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
10%
28°C
30%
29°C
35%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C o superiore
1%
29°C 35%
28°C 30%
30°C 13%
27°C 10%
24°C o inferiore
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
10%
28°C
30%
29°C
35%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance indicates mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Paris on September 4, supporting a daily high near 28–30°C driven by moderate southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. This positions 29°C and 28°C as the leading outcomes in trader sentiment, reflecting above-average early-September values while remaining well below historical extremes. Low precipitation probabilities and stable high pressure further reduce downside risks for cooler readings. As the date nears, updated model runs and observational data will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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