Forecast models from sources like PAGASA-aligned systems and global ensembles indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Manila on September 4, which will reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 29–30 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and moderate winds off Manila Bay further moderate daytime heating through enhanced mixing and sea-breeze effects. The narrow spread between the leading 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes reflects minor model differences in storm timing and cloud optical depth rather than any large-scale shift; historical September climatology shows similar suppressed maxima during active monsoon periods. Traders are weighting near-term observational updates from local stations and satellite imagery that could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 4 settembre?
31°C 41%
30°C 37%
29°C 12%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
37%
31°C
41%
32°C
9%
33°C o superiore
2%
31°C 41%
30°C 37%
29°C 12%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
$92 Vol.
1%
24°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$342 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$152 Vol.
2%
27°C
$206 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
6%
29°C
$373 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
37%
31°C
$202 Vol.
41%
32°C
$33 Vol.
9%
33°C o superiore
$77 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like PAGASA-aligned systems and global ensembles indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Manila on September 4, which will reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 29–30 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and moderate winds off Manila Bay further moderate daytime heating through enhanced mixing and sea-breeze effects. The narrow spread between the leading 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes reflects minor model differences in storm timing and cloud optical depth rather than any large-scale shift; historical September climatology shows similar suppressed maxima during active monsoon periods. Traders are weighting near-term observational updates from local stations and satellite imagery that could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,763Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like PAGASA-aligned systems and global ensembles indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Manila on September 4, which will reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 29–30 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and moderate winds off Manila Bay further moderate daytime heating through enhanced mixing and sea-breeze effects. The narrow spread between the leading 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes reflects minor model differences in storm timing and cloud optical depth rather than any large-scale shift; historical September climatology shows similar suppressed maxima during active monsoon periods. Traders are weighting near-term observational updates from local stations and satellite imagery that could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,763Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like PAGASA-aligned systems and global ensembles indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Manila on September 4, which will reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 29–30 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and moderate winds off Manila Bay further moderate daytime heating through enhanced mixing and sea-breeze effects. The narrow spread between the leading 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes reflects minor model differences in storm timing and cloud optical depth rather than any large-scale shift; historical September climatology shows similar suppressed maxima during active monsoon periods. Traders are weighting near-term observational updates from local stations and satellite imagery that could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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