Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 2 indicate highs centered near 30–32°C amid northwest flow and variable cloud cover, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions and lingering moisture from late-August rain events introduce model divergence, with some runs projecting overcast skies and light precipitation that cap daytime heating while others favor partial clearing and peaks approaching 33°C. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and humidity levels near 60–70% create genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum. Updated model runs and observational data in the coming 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 2 settembre?
32°C 26%
30°C 25%
31°C 21%
33°C 13%
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C
26%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 26%
30°C 25%
31°C 21%
33°C 13%
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C
26%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 2 indicate highs centered near 30–32°C amid northwest flow and variable cloud cover, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions and lingering moisture from late-August rain events introduce model divergence, with some runs projecting overcast skies and light precipitation that cap daytime heating while others favor partial clearing and peaks approaching 33°C. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and humidity levels near 60–70% create genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum. Updated model runs and observational data in the coming 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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