**Forecast models indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 2, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain or drizzle, and northerly to northwesterly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature average lows around 25°C, with high humidity (70–80%) and dew points near 21–23°C moderating temperature drops. Current observations show overcast skies and light precipitation, which trap heat and support the market's leading implied probability for a 24°C minimum (58.5%). Stronger northerly flow could enhance mixing and keep readings from falling further, while clearer intervals might allow modest cooling toward 23°C. Historical data show an all-time low of 20.9°C, but recent model consensus from sources like WeatherBug, Yr, and others points to stable, near-normal values without significant cold advection or typhoon influence. Upcoming overnight observations and refined model runs will refine these probabilities, with trader sentiment reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes around the seasonal baseline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 2 settembre?
23°C 82%
25°C 82%
29°C or higher 82%
22°C 81%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
55%
22°C
81%
23°C
82%
24°C
60%
25°C
82%
26°C
80%
27°C
81%
28°C
78%
29°C or higher
82%
23°C 82%
25°C 82%
29°C or higher 82%
22°C 81%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
19°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$63 Vol.
55%
22°C
$0 Vol.
81%
23°C
$0 Vol.
82%
24°C
$0 Vol.
60%
25°C
$0 Vol.
82%
26°C
$0 Vol.
80%
27°C
$0 Vol.
81%
28°C
$5 Vol.
78%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 2, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain or drizzle, and northerly to northwesterly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling.**
Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature average lows around 25°C, with high humidity (70–80%) and dew points near 21–23°C moderating temperature drops. Current observations show overcast skies and light precipitation, which trap heat and support the market's leading implied probability for a 24°C minimum (58.5%). Stronger northerly flow could enhance mixing and keep readings from falling further, while clearer intervals might allow modest cooling toward 23°C.
Historical data show an all-time low of 20.9°C, but recent model consensus from sources like WeatherBug, Yr, and others points to stable, near-normal values without significant cold advection or typhoon influence. Upcoming overnight observations and refined model runs will refine these probabilities, with trader sentiment reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes around the seasonal baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$451Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 2, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain or drizzle, and northerly to northwesterly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling.**
Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature average lows around 25°C, with high humidity (70–80%) and dew points near 21–23°C moderating temperature drops. Current observations show overcast skies and light precipitation, which trap heat and support the market's leading implied probability for a 24°C minimum (58.5%). Stronger northerly flow could enhance mixing and keep readings from falling further, while clearer intervals might allow modest cooling toward 23°C.
Historical data show an all-time low of 20.9°C, but recent model consensus from sources like WeatherBug, Yr, and others points to stable, near-normal values without significant cold advection or typhoon influence. Upcoming overnight observations and refined model runs will refine these probabilities, with trader sentiment reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes around the seasonal baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$451Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 2, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain or drizzle, and northerly to northwesterly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature average lows around 25°C, with high humidity (70–80%) and dew points near 21–23°C moderating temperature drops. Current observations show overcast skies and light precipitation, which trap heat and support the market's leading implied probability for a 24°C minimum (58.5%). Stronger northerly flow could enhance mixing and keep readings from falling further, while clearer intervals might allow modest cooling toward 23°C. Historical data show an all-time low of 20.9°C, but recent model consensus from sources like WeatherBug, Yr, and others points to stable, near-normal values without significant cold advection or typhoon influence. Upcoming overnight observations and refined model runs will refine these probabilities, with trader sentiment reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes around the seasonal baseline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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