Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local models point to an overnight low near 24–26°C on September 1 in Guangzhou, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and lingering moisture from August 30–31 thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns with the historical average low of 25.1°C for the date and recent seasonal patterns in the humid subtropical monsoon climate, where early September lows rarely drop below 23°C without a stronger cold front. Trader emphasis on 25°C reflects model consensus on these conditions, with higher outcomes priced in for any clearing that could allow slightly cooler readings and lower probabilities assigned to rare sub-23°C scenarios given current warmth and humidity. Updated model runs and official Guangdong meteorological briefings ahead of the date will be key.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 1° settembre?
30°C or higher 69%
27°C 49%
25°C 45%
26°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
19%
22°C
10%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
45%
26°C
27%
27°C
49%
28°C
25%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
69%
30°C or higher 69%
27°C 49%
25°C 45%
26°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
20°C or below
$324 Vol.
2%
21°C
$145 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$150 Vol.
14%
30°C or higher
$10 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local models point to an overnight low near 24–26°C on September 1 in Guangzhou, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and lingering moisture from August 30–31 thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns with the historical average low of 25.1°C for the date and recent seasonal patterns in the humid subtropical monsoon climate, where early September lows rarely drop below 23°C without a stronger cold front. Trader emphasis on 25°C reflects model consensus on these conditions, with higher outcomes priced in for any clearing that could allow slightly cooler readings and lower probabilities assigned to rare sub-23°C scenarios given current warmth and humidity. Updated model runs and official Guangdong meteorological briefings ahead of the date will be key.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$629Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local models point to an overnight low near 24–26°C on September 1 in Guangzhou, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and lingering moisture from August 30–31 thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns with the historical average low of 25.1°C for the date and recent seasonal patterns in the humid subtropical monsoon climate, where early September lows rarely drop below 23°C without a stronger cold front. Trader emphasis on 25°C reflects model consensus on these conditions, with higher outcomes priced in for any clearing that could allow slightly cooler readings and lower probabilities assigned to rare sub-23°C scenarios given current warmth and humidity. Updated model runs and official Guangdong meteorological briefings ahead of the date will be key.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$629Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local models point to an overnight low near 24–26°C on September 1 in Guangzhou, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and lingering moisture from August 30–31 thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns with the historical average low of 25.1°C for the date and recent seasonal patterns in the humid subtropical monsoon climate, where early September lows rarely drop below 23°C without a stronger cold front. Trader emphasis on 25°C reflects model consensus on these conditions, with higher outcomes priced in for any clearing that could allow slightly cooler readings and lower probabilities assigned to rare sub-23°C scenarios given current warmth and humidity. Updated model runs and official Guangdong meteorological briefings ahead of the date will be key.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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