Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international providers indicate Guangzhou’s overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 25–27 °C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to a broad low-pressure trough and weakening Tropical Depression Saudel. These conditions suppress radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, aligning with recent observed minima of 26–27 °C amid elevated humidity and light winds. Historical August climatology places the average low near 25 °C, but the current unsettled pattern supports the market’s clustering around 25–27 °C outcomes while limiting downside risk below 24 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 30 agosto?
32°C or higher 69%
27°C 51%
23°C 49%
30°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
42%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
49%
32°C or higher
69%
32°C or higher 69%
27°C 51%
23°C 49%
30°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
$16 Vol.
2%
23°C
$16 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$19 Vol.
42%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$10 Vol.
49%
31°C
$5 Vol.
49%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international providers indicate Guangzhou’s overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 25–27 °C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to a broad low-pressure trough and weakening Tropical Depression Saudel. These conditions suppress radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, aligning with recent observed minima of 26–27 °C amid elevated humidity and light winds. Historical August climatology places the average low near 25 °C, but the current unsettled pattern supports the market’s clustering around 25–27 °C outcomes while limiting downside risk below 24 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$71Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international providers indicate Guangzhou’s overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 25–27 °C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to a broad low-pressure trough and weakening Tropical Depression Saudel. These conditions suppress radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, aligning with recent observed minima of 26–27 °C amid elevated humidity and light winds. Historical August climatology places the average low near 25 °C, but the current unsettled pattern supports the market’s clustering around 25–27 °C outcomes while limiting downside risk below 24 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international providers indicate Guangzhou’s overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 25–27 °C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to a broad low-pressure trough and weakening Tropical Depression Saudel. These conditions suppress radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, aligning with recent observed minima of 26–27 °C amid elevated humidity and light winds. Historical August climatology places the average low near 25 °C, but the current unsettled pattern supports the market’s clustering around 25–27 °C outcomes while limiting downside risk below 24 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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