Recent forecast models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on August 31 will likely settle in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-95%, and scattered rainfall that limits radiative cooling under a typical late-summer monsoon pattern. These conditions compress the diurnal range compared to clearer historical analogs averaging 25.1°C lows, keeping 25–26°C outcomes clustered near 70% combined implied probability while the 31°C+ tail reflects uncertainty in any clearing trend or model spread. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 31 agosto?
31°C or higher 68%
21°C or below 58%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
21°C or below
58%
22°C
37%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
34%
26°C
36%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
44%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
68%
31°C or higher 68%
21°C or below 58%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
58%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
36%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
44%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on August 31 will likely settle in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-95%, and scattered rainfall that limits radiative cooling under a typical late-summer monsoon pattern. These conditions compress the diurnal range compared to clearer historical analogs averaging 25.1°C lows, keeping 25–26°C outcomes clustered near 70% combined implied probability while the 31°C+ tail reflects uncertainty in any clearing trend or model spread. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on August 31 will likely settle in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-95%, and scattered rainfall that limits radiative cooling under a typical late-summer monsoon pattern. These conditions compress the diurnal range compared to clearer historical analogs averaging 25.1°C lows, keeping 25–26°C outcomes clustered near 70% combined implied probability while the 31°C+ tail reflects uncertainty in any clearing trend or model spread. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on August 31 will likely settle in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-95%, and scattered rainfall that limits radiative cooling under a typical late-summer monsoon pattern. These conditions compress the diurnal range compared to clearer historical analogs averaging 25.1°C lows, keeping 25–26°C outcomes clustered near 70% combined implied probability while the 31°C+ tail reflects uncertainty in any clearing trend or model spread. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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