Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Madrid on August 31, supporting strong daytime solar heating with peak temperatures most likely reaching 32–34°C. Light southerly or variable winds and low humidity will enhance diurnal warming in the city's continental climate setting, while minimal cloud cover and zero precipitation risk keep upward potential limited. Current short-range forecasts cluster around 33–34°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities at those thresholds and explaining the tight clustering around 34°C as the mode. Any late model adjustments or observational updates over the next 48 hours could shift resolution criteria if maximum readings edge higher or lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 31 agosto?
34°C 53%
35°C 27%
33°C 19%
36°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
19%
34°C
53%
35°C
27%
36°C
8%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 53%
35°C 27%
33°C 19%
36°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
29°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$5 Vol.
6%
33°C
$22 Vol.
19%
34°C
$105 Vol.
53%
35°C
$300 Vol.
27%
36°C
$0 Vol.
8%
37°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Madrid on August 31, supporting strong daytime solar heating with peak temperatures most likely reaching 32–34°C. Light southerly or variable winds and low humidity will enhance diurnal warming in the city's continental climate setting, while minimal cloud cover and zero precipitation risk keep upward potential limited. Current short-range forecasts cluster around 33–34°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities at those thresholds and explaining the tight clustering around 34°C as the mode. Any late model adjustments or observational updates over the next 48 hours could shift resolution criteria if maximum readings edge higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$477Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Madrid on August 31, supporting strong daytime solar heating with peak temperatures most likely reaching 32–34°C. Light southerly or variable winds and low humidity will enhance diurnal warming in the city's continental climate setting, while minimal cloud cover and zero precipitation risk keep upward potential limited. Current short-range forecasts cluster around 33–34°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities at those thresholds and explaining the tight clustering around 34°C as the mode. Any late model adjustments or observational updates over the next 48 hours could shift resolution criteria if maximum readings edge higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$477Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Madrid on August 31, supporting strong daytime solar heating with peak temperatures most likely reaching 32–34°C. Light southerly or variable winds and low humidity will enhance diurnal warming in the city's continental climate setting, while minimal cloud cover and zero precipitation risk keep upward potential limited. Current short-range forecasts cluster around 33–34°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities at those thresholds and explaining the tight clustering around 34°C as the mode. Any late model adjustments or observational updates over the next 48 hours could shift resolution criteria if maximum readings edge higher or lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti