Official forecasts from PAGASA for Metro Manila on September 2, 2026, project a daytime high near 30°C amid an 80% rain chance driven by the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and frequent convective showers reduce solar heating, keeping maxima near or modestly below the 31°C September climatological average while humidity remains elevated. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or brief clear intervals that could allow brief warming to 32°C, creating the tight clustering around 31–32°C in market-implied odds. Traders weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against historical extremes rarely exceeding 34°C this early in the rainy season.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 2 settembre?
31°C 34%
32°C 23%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
25°C o inferiore
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
34%
32°C
23%
33°C
13%
34°C
5%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 23%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
25°C o inferiore
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
34%
32°C
23%
33°C
13%
34°C
5%
35°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA for Metro Manila on September 2, 2026, project a daytime high near 30°C amid an 80% rain chance driven by the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and frequent convective showers reduce solar heating, keeping maxima near or modestly below the 31°C September climatological average while humidity remains elevated. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or brief clear intervals that could allow brief warming to 32°C, creating the tight clustering around 31–32°C in market-implied odds. Traders weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against historical extremes rarely exceeding 34°C this early in the rainy season.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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