Recent forecasts for Manila show nighttime lows on September 2 clustered around 25–27°C amid an enhanced southwest monsoon driven by distant Tropical Depression Pilandok, which is sustaining scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Luzon. These conditions introduce forecast uncertainty through variable rainfall timing and reduced diurnal cooling, with models diverging on the exact minimum amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific spread, with implied probabilities tightly grouped between 27°C and nearby thresholds as markets weigh the monsoon’s cooling influence against typical September baselines near 26°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Manila il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Manila il 2 settembre?
30°C 92%
31°C o superiore 92%
21°C o inferiore 91%
24°C 91%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
91%
22°C
6%
23°C
14%
24°C
91%
25°C
85%
26°C
86%
27°C
49%
28°C
45%
29°C
89%
30°C
92%
31°C o superiore
92%
30°C 92%
31°C o superiore 92%
21°C o inferiore 91%
24°C 91%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
91%
22°C
$5 Vol.
6%
23°C
$21 Vol.
14%
24°C
$0 Vol.
91%
25°C
$0 Vol.
85%
26°C
$0 Vol.
86%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
45%
29°C
$1 Vol.
89%
30°C
$5 Vol.
92%
31°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila show nighttime lows on September 2 clustered around 25–27°C amid an enhanced southwest monsoon driven by distant Tropical Depression Pilandok, which is sustaining scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Luzon. These conditions introduce forecast uncertainty through variable rainfall timing and reduced diurnal cooling, with models diverging on the exact minimum amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific spread, with implied probabilities tightly grouped between 27°C and nearby thresholds as markets weigh the monsoon’s cooling influence against typical September baselines near 26°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$42Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila show nighttime lows on September 2 clustered around 25–27°C amid an enhanced southwest monsoon driven by distant Tropical Depression Pilandok, which is sustaining scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Luzon. These conditions introduce forecast uncertainty through variable rainfall timing and reduced diurnal cooling, with models diverging on the exact minimum amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific spread, with implied probabilities tightly grouped between 27°C and nearby thresholds as markets weigh the monsoon’s cooling influence against typical September baselines near 26°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila show nighttime lows on September 2 clustered around 25–27°C amid an enhanced southwest monsoon driven by distant Tropical Depression Pilandok, which is sustaining scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Luzon. These conditions introduce forecast uncertainty through variable rainfall timing and reduced diurnal cooling, with models diverging on the exact minimum amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific spread, with implied probabilities tightly grouped between 27°C and nearby thresholds as markets weigh the monsoon’s cooling influence against typical September baselines near 26°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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