Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for September 1, consistent with PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity (80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading well above the 22°C threshold while also capping daytime peaks near 30°C. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the 25–28°C range, with any brief clearing unlikely to produce significant additional cooling given the moist boundary layer. Traders therefore price the 27°C outcome near the middle of the distribution, while the split between warmer and cooler tails reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized rainfall intensity ahead of the final 24-hour forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Manila il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Manila il 1° settembre?
32°C o superiore 60%
22°C or below 59%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
22°C or below
59%
23°C
19%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C o superiore
60%
32°C o superiore 60%
22°C or below 59%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
59%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
49%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for September 1, consistent with PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity (80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading well above the 22°C threshold while also capping daytime peaks near 30°C. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the 25–28°C range, with any brief clearing unlikely to produce significant additional cooling given the moist boundary layer. Traders therefore price the 27°C outcome near the middle of the distribution, while the split between warmer and cooler tails reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized rainfall intensity ahead of the final 24-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for September 1, consistent with PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity (80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading well above the 22°C threshold while also capping daytime peaks near 30°C. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the 25–28°C range, with any brief clearing unlikely to produce significant additional cooling given the moist boundary layer. Traders therefore price the 27°C outcome near the middle of the distribution, while the split between warmer and cooler tails reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized rainfall intensity ahead of the final 24-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for September 1, consistent with PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity (80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading well above the 22°C threshold while also capping daytime peaks near 30°C. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the 25–28°C range, with any brief clearing unlikely to produce significant additional cooling given the moist boundary layer. Traders therefore price the 27°C outcome near the middle of the distribution, while the split between warmer and cooler tails reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized rainfall intensity ahead of the final 24-hour forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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