Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a Friday high near 97°F in Dallas under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. A weak front brought scattered storms and lower readings near 87–92°F on Thursday, but rapid re-warming is underway as high pressure rebuilds and dew points remain elevated, yielding heat indices above 100°F. Climatologically, the 1991–2020 average high for September 4 is 93°F, so the current setup favors values modestly above normal with only a 20% shower chance that is unlikely to suppress the maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Dallas il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Dallas il 4 settembre?
96-97°F 37%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
85°F o inferiore
3%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
6%
104°F o superiore
6%
96-97°F 37%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
85°F o inferiore
$48 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
8%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$106 Vol.
12%
94-95°F
$24 Vol.
34%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
37%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
7%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
6%
104°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a Friday high near 97°F in Dallas under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. A weak front brought scattered storms and lower readings near 87–92°F on Thursday, but rapid re-warming is underway as high pressure rebuilds and dew points remain elevated, yielding heat indices above 100°F. Climatologically, the 1991–2020 average high for September 4 is 93°F, so the current setup favors values modestly above normal with only a 20% shower chance that is unlikely to suppress the maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$178Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a Friday high near 97°F in Dallas under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. A weak front brought scattered storms and lower readings near 87–92°F on Thursday, but rapid re-warming is underway as high pressure rebuilds and dew points remain elevated, yielding heat indices above 100°F. Climatologically, the 1991–2020 average high for September 4 is 93°F, so the current setup favors values modestly above normal with only a 20% shower chance that is unlikely to suppress the maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$178Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a Friday high near 97°F in Dallas under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. A weak front brought scattered storms and lower readings near 87–92°F on Thursday, but rapid re-warming is underway as high pressure rebuilds and dew points remain elevated, yielding heat indices above 100°F. Climatologically, the 1991–2020 average high for September 4 is 93°F, so the current setup favors values modestly above normal with only a 20% shower chance that is unlikely to suppress the maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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