Latest forecast models from sources like GFS indicate the primary driver for Paris minimum temperatures on September 3 is stable high pressure with mild westerly flow, producing overnight lows of 16–18°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This reflects above-average conditions relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of 13°C, driven by limited radiative cooling and warmer-than-normal Atlantic air masses rather than typical autumnal northerly intrusions. Hourly guidance shows stabilization around 16–17°C in the pre-dawn hours, with low precipitation risk supporting minimal further drops. Trader consensus clustering on 15–17°C aligns with this model agreement, though minor revisions in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 3 settembre?
16°C 44%
15°C 41%
17°C 19%
14°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
13%
12°C
11%
13°C
12%
14°C
15%
15°C
27%
16°C
44%
17°C
19%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C o superiore
2%
16°C 44%
15°C 41%
17°C 19%
14°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
13%
12°C
$20 Vol.
11%
13°C
$20 Vol.
12%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$50 Vol.
27%
16°C
$816 Vol.
44%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C
$41 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
4%
21°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like GFS indicate the primary driver for Paris minimum temperatures on September 3 is stable high pressure with mild westerly flow, producing overnight lows of 16–18°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This reflects above-average conditions relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of 13°C, driven by limited radiative cooling and warmer-than-normal Atlantic air masses rather than typical autumnal northerly intrusions. Hourly guidance shows stabilization around 16–17°C in the pre-dawn hours, with low precipitation risk supporting minimal further drops. Trader consensus clustering on 15–17°C aligns with this model agreement, though minor revisions in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$962Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like GFS indicate the primary driver for Paris minimum temperatures on September 3 is stable high pressure with mild westerly flow, producing overnight lows of 16–18°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This reflects above-average conditions relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of 13°C, driven by limited radiative cooling and warmer-than-normal Atlantic air masses rather than typical autumnal northerly intrusions. Hourly guidance shows stabilization around 16–17°C in the pre-dawn hours, with low precipitation risk supporting minimal further drops. Trader consensus clustering on 15–17°C aligns with this model agreement, though minor revisions in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$962Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources like GFS indicate the primary driver for Paris minimum temperatures on September 3 is stable high pressure with mild westerly flow, producing overnight lows of 16–18°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This reflects above-average conditions relative to the 1991–2020 climatological low of 13°C, driven by limited radiative cooling and warmer-than-normal Atlantic air masses rather than typical autumnal northerly intrusions. Hourly guidance shows stabilization around 16–17°C in the pre-dawn hours, with low precipitation risk supporting minimal further drops. Trader consensus clustering on 15–17°C aligns with this model agreement, though minor revisions in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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