Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 1, aligning with the market's strong preference for 32°C. Stable high pressure, northwest winds of 5–8 mph, low humidity around 55–65%, and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit further warming, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 30°C. Seasonal outlooks from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate slightly above-normal temperatures for early September, supporting the narrow range of outcomes. Minor model spreads in peak timing and cloud cover introduce limited uncertainty ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 1° settembre?
32°C 77%
33°C 22%
31°C 1.1%
34°C 1.0%
$15,208 Vol.
$15,208 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
77%
33°C
22%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 77%
33°C 22%
31°C 1.1%
34°C 1.0%
$15,208 Vol.
$15,208 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
77%
33°C
22%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 1, aligning with the market's strong preference for 32°C. Stable high pressure, northwest winds of 5–8 mph, low humidity around 55–65%, and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit further warming, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 30°C. Seasonal outlooks from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate slightly above-normal temperatures for early September, supporting the narrow range of outcomes. Minor model spreads in peak timing and cloud cover introduce limited uncertainty ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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