Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting clear skies and light winds that favor typical radiative cooling overnight into September 2. Minimum temperatures are projected to reach 24–26 °C in Tel Aviv, consistent with early-September climatology near 25 °C, with limited model spread due to the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture advection. This equilibrium underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across 20–28 °C outcomes, as traders weigh small variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns that could shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official Israeli forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 2 settembre?
20°C 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
19°C or below
81%
20°C
100%
21°C
50%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
-
26°C
100%
27°C
98%
28°C
100%
29°C or higher
16%
20°C 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
19°C or below
81%
20°C
100%
21°C
50%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
-
26°C
100%
27°C
98%
28°C
100%
29°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting clear skies and light winds that favor typical radiative cooling overnight into September 2. Minimum temperatures are projected to reach 24–26 °C in Tel Aviv, consistent with early-September climatology near 25 °C, with limited model spread due to the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture advection. This equilibrium underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across 20–28 °C outcomes, as traders weigh small variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns that could shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official Israeli forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti