**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine, establishing the leading market outcome at 36% implied probability.** Multiple international models converge on highs of 29–31°C, reflecting moderating west-southwest winds after recent tropical cyclone influences and seasonal sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C that limit rapid warming. Cloud cover and medium rain probability reduce solar heating potential, while slight model spread in precipitation timing creates the tight clustering between 29°C and 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range as steering patterns and convective development become clearer.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 5 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 5 settembre?
30°C 38%
31°C 36%
29°C 25%
32°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
25%
30°C
34%
31°C
36%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 38%
31°C 36%
29°C 25%
32°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$40 Vol.
3%
29°C
$10 Vol.
25%
30°C
$12 Vol.
34%
31°C
$10 Vol.
36%
32°C
$66 Vol.
6%
33°C
$8 Vol.
3%
34°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine, establishing the leading market outcome at 36% implied probability.** Multiple international models converge on highs of 29–31°C, reflecting moderating west-southwest winds after recent tropical cyclone influences and seasonal sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C that limit rapid warming. Cloud cover and medium rain probability reduce solar heating potential, while slight model spread in precipitation timing creates the tight clustering between 29°C and 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range as steering patterns and convective development become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$160Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine, establishing the leading market outcome at 36% implied probability.** Multiple international models converge on highs of 29–31°C, reflecting moderating west-southwest winds after recent tropical cyclone influences and seasonal sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C that limit rapid warming. Cloud cover and medium rain probability reduce solar heating potential, while slight model spread in precipitation timing creates the tight clustering between 29°C and 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range as steering patterns and convective development become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$160Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine, establishing the leading market outcome at 36% implied probability.** Multiple international models converge on highs of 29–31°C, reflecting moderating west-southwest winds after recent tropical cyclone influences and seasonal sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C that limit rapid warming. Cloud cover and medium rain probability reduce solar heating potential, while slight model spread in precipitation timing creates the tight clustering between 29°C and 31°C. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range as steering patterns and convective development become clearer.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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