Latest numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a maximum temperature near 22–23°C for Mexico City on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the wet season at 2,240 m altitude. These conditions limit surface heating and afternoon convection, keeping readings below the seasonal September average of roughly 24–25°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the tight 36.5% implied probability for exactly 24°C versus 30.5% for 25°C or higher, stems from minor model disagreements on timing of any brief clearing and potential for localized warming. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and real-time observations on the day will determine resolution against precise thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 9 settembre?
24°C 39%
25°C o superiore 31%
23°C 21%
22°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
21%
24°C
39%
25°C o superiore
31%
24°C 39%
25°C o superiore 31%
23°C 21%
22°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
$125 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$56 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$143 Vol.
2%
22°C
$197 Vol.
6%
23°C
$163 Vol.
21%
24°C
$685 Vol.
39%
25°C o superiore
$630 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a maximum temperature near 22–23°C for Mexico City on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the wet season at 2,240 m altitude. These conditions limit surface heating and afternoon convection, keeping readings below the seasonal September average of roughly 24–25°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the tight 36.5% implied probability for exactly 24°C versus 30.5% for 25°C or higher, stems from minor model disagreements on timing of any brief clearing and potential for localized warming. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and real-time observations on the day will determine resolution against precise thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,374Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a maximum temperature near 22–23°C for Mexico City on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the wet season at 2,240 m altitude. These conditions limit surface heating and afternoon convection, keeping readings below the seasonal September average of roughly 24–25°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the tight 36.5% implied probability for exactly 24°C versus 30.5% for 25°C or higher, stems from minor model disagreements on timing of any brief clearing and potential for localized warming. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and real-time observations on the day will determine resolution against precise thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,374Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a maximum temperature near 22–23°C for Mexico City on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the wet season at 2,240 m altitude. These conditions limit surface heating and afternoon convection, keeping readings below the seasonal September average of roughly 24–25°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the tight 36.5% implied probability for exactly 24°C versus 30.5% for 25°C or higher, stems from minor model disagreements on timing of any brief clearing and potential for localized warming. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and real-time observations on the day will determine resolution against precise thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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