Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 18–20°C for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Mostly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and light winds have limited daytime heating, while the absence of strong high pressure or warm advection keeps temperatures close to the 1991–2020 average high of 19.7°C. Current conditions show no rapid intensification or cooling trends, and historical analogs for the date rarely exceed 22°C without clear synoptic support. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around these values, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Schiphol station before midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 10 settembre?
20°C 71%
21°C 27%
22°C <1%
19°C <1%
$23,564 Vol.
$23,564 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
71%
21°C
27%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 71%
21°C 27%
22°C <1%
19°C <1%
$23,564 Vol.
$23,564 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
71%
21°C
27%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 18–20°C for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Mostly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and light winds have limited daytime heating, while the absence of strong high pressure or warm advection keeps temperatures close to the 1991–2020 average high of 19.7°C. Current conditions show no rapid intensification or cooling trends, and historical analogs for the date rarely exceed 22°C without clear synoptic support. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around these values, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Schiphol station before midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti