Traders see the lowest temperature in Austin on September 12 clustering near 74–79 °F because model guidance from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows only modest overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Seasonal norms for mid-September place Austin’s typical low around 72–74 °F, but elevated dew points near 65 °F and a weak southerly flow are limiting radiational cooling, keeping most ensemble members above 74 °F. The tight spread among the top three bins (74–75 °F at 26.5 %, 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F each at 29 %) reflects small differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the minimum by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range forecasts tonight will likely tighten or widen these probabilities before midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Austin il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Austin il 12 settembre?
69°F o inferiore 90%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
82-83°F 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
69°F o inferiore
90%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
40%
88°F o superiore
2%
69°F o inferiore 90%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
82-83°F 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
69°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
90%
70-71°F
$32 Vol.
40%
72-73°F
$42 Vol.
40%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
29%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
22%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
40%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
40%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
40%
88°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Austin on September 12 clustering near 74–79 °F because model guidance from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows only modest overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Seasonal norms for mid-September place Austin’s typical low around 72–74 °F, but elevated dew points near 65 °F and a weak southerly flow are limiting radiational cooling, keeping most ensemble members above 74 °F. The tight spread among the top three bins (74–75 °F at 26.5 %, 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F each at 29 %) reflects small differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the minimum by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range forecasts tonight will likely tighten or widen these probabilities before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$75Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Austin on September 12 clustering near 74–79 °F because model guidance from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows only modest overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Seasonal norms for mid-September place Austin’s typical low around 72–74 °F, but elevated dew points near 65 °F and a weak southerly flow are limiting radiational cooling, keeping most ensemble members above 74 °F. The tight spread among the top three bins (74–75 °F at 26.5 %, 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F each at 29 %) reflects small differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the minimum by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range forecasts tonight will likely tighten or widen these probabilities before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Austin on September 12 clustering near 74–79 °F because model guidance from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows only modest overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Seasonal norms for mid-September place Austin’s typical low around 72–74 °F, but elevated dew points near 65 °F and a weak southerly flow are limiting radiational cooling, keeping most ensemble members above 74 °F. The tight spread among the top three bins (74–75 °F at 26.5 %, 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F each at 29 %) reflects small differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the minimum by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range forecasts tonight will likely tighten or widen these probabilities before midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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