Recent warm conditions across Southern California, including daytime highs reaching the mid-90s earlier in the week, have sustained elevated overnight temperatures in Los Angeles, positioning 70-71°F as the market's leading outcome at 51% implied probability. Clear skies and limited marine layer influence have reduced radiational cooling, keeping minimums several degrees above the 1991-2020 September average low of 64°F. Model consensus from recent National Weather Service guidance pointed to upper-60s to low-70s readings at official stations like LAX, with trader sentiment reflecting the absence of stronger onshore flow or cloud cover that typically drives sharper drops. Upcoming verification of the official low will confirm whether residual heat or subtle wind shifts alter the final tally within the narrow 70-73°F range favored by over 76% of market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 12 settembre?
72-73°F 26%
64-65°F 10%
68-69°F 8%
62-63°F 6%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
12 set 2026
59°F o inferiore
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
51%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F o superiore
<1%
72-73°F 26%
64-65°F 10%
68-69°F 8%
62-63°F 6%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
12 set 2026
59°F o inferiore
$25 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$25 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
10%
66-67°F
$45 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$118 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$319 Vol.
51%
72-73°F
$332 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
78°F o superiore
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent warm conditions across Southern California, including daytime highs reaching the mid-90s earlier in the week, have sustained elevated overnight temperatures in Los Angeles, positioning 70-71°F as the market's leading outcome at 51% implied probability. Clear skies and limited marine layer influence have reduced radiational cooling, keeping minimums several degrees above the 1991-2020 September average low of 64°F. Model consensus from recent National Weather Service guidance pointed to upper-60s to low-70s readings at official stations like LAX, with trader sentiment reflecting the absence of stronger onshore flow or cloud cover that typically drives sharper drops. Upcoming verification of the official low will confirm whether residual heat or subtle wind shifts alter the final tally within the narrow 70-73°F range favored by over 76% of market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$953Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent warm conditions across Southern California, including daytime highs reaching the mid-90s earlier in the week, have sustained elevated overnight temperatures in Los Angeles, positioning 70-71°F as the market's leading outcome at 51% implied probability. Clear skies and limited marine layer influence have reduced radiational cooling, keeping minimums several degrees above the 1991-2020 September average low of 64°F. Model consensus from recent National Weather Service guidance pointed to upper-60s to low-70s readings at official stations like LAX, with trader sentiment reflecting the absence of stronger onshore flow or cloud cover that typically drives sharper drops. Upcoming verification of the official low will confirm whether residual heat or subtle wind shifts alter the final tally within the narrow 70-73°F range favored by over 76% of market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$953Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent warm conditions across Southern California, including daytime highs reaching the mid-90s earlier in the week, have sustained elevated overnight temperatures in Los Angeles, positioning 70-71°F as the market's leading outcome at 51% implied probability. Clear skies and limited marine layer influence have reduced radiational cooling, keeping minimums several degrees above the 1991-2020 September average low of 64°F. Model consensus from recent National Weather Service guidance pointed to upper-60s to low-70s readings at official stations like LAX, with trader sentiment reflecting the absence of stronger onshore flow or cloud cover that typically drives sharper drops. Upcoming verification of the official low will confirm whether residual heat or subtle wind shifts alter the final tally within the narrow 70-73°F range favored by over 76% of market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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