Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data indicates an afternoon high of 24–25°C in Incheon under persistent overcast conditions with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance projects a maximum near 25°C, consistent with September climatological norms of roughly 25.8°C for the region, while the absence of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating limits upside potential to 26°C or above. Traders appear to be pricing in modest model uncertainty around the precise peak, with data releases from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 13 settembre?
25°C 50%
24°C 26%
26°C 18%
23°C 7%
NUOVO
$10,070 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,070 Vol.
13 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
18%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 50%
24°C 26%
26°C 18%
23°C 7%
NUOVO
$10,070 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,070 Vol.
13 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$307 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$639 Vol.
2%
23°C
$1,056 Vol.
7%
24°C
$2,557 Vol.
26%
25°C
$1,896 Vol.
50%
26°C
$1,298 Vol.
18%
27°C
$706 Vol.
2%
28°C
$404 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$521 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data indicates an afternoon high of 24–25°C in Incheon under persistent overcast conditions with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance projects a maximum near 25°C, consistent with September climatological norms of roughly 25.8°C for the region, while the absence of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating limits upside potential to 26°C or above. Traders appear to be pricing in modest model uncertainty around the precise peak, with data releases from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,070Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data indicates an afternoon high of 24–25°C in Incheon under persistent overcast conditions with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance projects a maximum near 25°C, consistent with September climatological norms of roughly 25.8°C for the region, while the absence of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating limits upside potential to 26°C or above. Traders appear to be pricing in modest model uncertainty around the precise peak, with data releases from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,070Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data indicates an afternoon high of 24–25°C in Incheon under persistent overcast conditions with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance projects a maximum near 25°C, consistent with September climatological norms of roughly 25.8°C for the region, while the absence of stronger southerly flow or clear-sky heating limits upside potential to 26°C or above. Traders appear to be pricing in modest model uncertainty around the precise peak, with data releases from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti