Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs indicate Amsterdam overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 10, driven by light winds, partial cloud cover, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 6°C or below reflects residual spread in model members that allow for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected or dew points drop further. Historical September minima average 11.3°C at Schiphol, with rare excursions below 7°C tied to anomalous high-pressure setups and clear, calm conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 10 settembre?
6°C o inferiore 67%
11°C 30%
10°C 23%
9°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
67%
7°C
13%
8°C
13%
9°C
22%
10°C
23%
11°C
30%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
17%
15°C
14%
16°C o superiore
12%
6°C o inferiore 67%
11°C 30%
10°C 23%
9°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
$25 Vol.
67%
7°C
$10 Vol.
13%
8°C
$67 Vol.
13%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
23%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$15 Vol.
17%
15°C
$10 Vol.
14%
16°C o superiore
$51 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs indicate Amsterdam overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 10, driven by light winds, partial cloud cover, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 6°C or below reflects residual spread in model members that allow for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected or dew points drop further. Historical September minima average 11.3°C at Schiphol, with rare excursions below 7°C tied to anomalous high-pressure setups and clear, calm conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$178Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs indicate Amsterdam overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 10, driven by light winds, partial cloud cover, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 6°C or below reflects residual spread in model members that allow for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected or dew points drop further. Historical September minima average 11.3°C at Schiphol, with rare excursions below 7°C tied to anomalous high-pressure setups and clear, calm conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$178Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs indicate Amsterdam overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 10, driven by light winds, partial cloud cover, and moderate radiative cooling under high pressure. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 6°C or below reflects residual spread in model members that allow for stronger nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected or dew points drop further. Historical September minima average 11.3°C at Schiphol, with rare excursions below 7°C tied to anomalous high-pressure setups and clear, calm conditions. Updated model runs tonight will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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