Recent forecasts from agencies and models indicate a sharp cooling trend in Chengdu driven by a cold air intrusion and widespread precipitation, with northerly winds and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating on September 9. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rain—concentrated from evening of the 8th through the 9th—suppress maximum temperatures below recent values near 31–33°C, aligning trader consensus around 25–27°C as the most probable outcomes. Official guidance highlights potential daily highs in the mid-20s Celsius amid 85–95% precipitation chances, with model runs converging on reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects. Updated forecasts and any shifts in rain timing or intensity remain key variables ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 9 settembre?
26°C 59%
27°C 25%
25°C 8%
28°C 4%
NUOVO
$18,780 Vol.
NUOVO
$18,780 Vol.
9 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
59%
27°C
25%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 59%
27°C 25%
25°C 8%
28°C 4%
NUOVO
$18,780 Vol.
NUOVO
$18,780 Vol.
9 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$166 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,271 Vol.
1%
24°C
$3,500 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,891 Vol.
8%
26°C
$3,436 Vol.
59%
27°C
$3,955 Vol.
25%
28°C
$963 Vol.
4%
29°C
$952 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$412 Vol.
2%
31°C o superiore
$870 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models indicate a sharp cooling trend in Chengdu driven by a cold air intrusion and widespread precipitation, with northerly winds and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating on September 9. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rain—concentrated from evening of the 8th through the 9th—suppress maximum temperatures below recent values near 31–33°C, aligning trader consensus around 25–27°C as the most probable outcomes. Official guidance highlights potential daily highs in the mid-20s Celsius amid 85–95% precipitation chances, with model runs converging on reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects. Updated forecasts and any shifts in rain timing or intensity remain key variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$18,780Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models indicate a sharp cooling trend in Chengdu driven by a cold air intrusion and widespread precipitation, with northerly winds and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating on September 9. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rain—concentrated from evening of the 8th through the 9th—suppress maximum temperatures below recent values near 31–33°C, aligning trader consensus around 25–27°C as the most probable outcomes. Official guidance highlights potential daily highs in the mid-20s Celsius amid 85–95% precipitation chances, with model runs converging on reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects. Updated forecasts and any shifts in rain timing or intensity remain key variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,780Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies and models indicate a sharp cooling trend in Chengdu driven by a cold air intrusion and widespread precipitation, with northerly winds and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating on September 9. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rain—concentrated from evening of the 8th through the 9th—suppress maximum temperatures below recent values near 31–33°C, aligning trader consensus around 25–27°C as the most probable outcomes. Official guidance highlights potential daily highs in the mid-20s Celsius amid 85–95% precipitation chances, with model runs converging on reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects. Updated forecasts and any shifts in rain timing or intensity remain key variables ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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