Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Chengdu driven by a cold front and widespread rainfall arriving September 8–10, shifting conditions from prior highs near 34°C to a much cooler, cloud-covered regime. Official guidance points to a daily maximum near 22–23°C on the 10th amid persistent overcast skies, moderate northerly winds, and periods of rain that suppress surface heating. Numerical models show close agreement on the overall drop yet vary slightly on exact peak timing and rainfall intensity, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C. Historical September averages for the region hover near 26–28°C, underscoring how atypical this synoptic pattern has become. Updated model runs and official briefings through the morning of the 10th remain the key variables that could refine the final observed high before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 10 settembre?
23°C 27%
22°C 26%
24°C 18%
21°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
18°C o meno
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
18%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 27%
22°C 26%
24°C 18%
21°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
18°C o meno
$165 Vol.
1%
19°C
$582 Vol.
3%
20°C
$268 Vol.
5%
21°C
$193 Vol.
11%
22°C
$219 Vol.
26%
23°C
$48 Vol.
27%
24°C
$139 Vol.
18%
25°C
$422 Vol.
9%
26°C
$60 Vol.
3%
27°C
$311 Vol.
1%
28°C o superiore
$487 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Chengdu driven by a cold front and widespread rainfall arriving September 8–10, shifting conditions from prior highs near 34°C to a much cooler, cloud-covered regime. Official guidance points to a daily maximum near 22–23°C on the 10th amid persistent overcast skies, moderate northerly winds, and periods of rain that suppress surface heating. Numerical models show close agreement on the overall drop yet vary slightly on exact peak timing and rainfall intensity, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C. Historical September averages for the region hover near 26–28°C, underscoring how atypical this synoptic pattern has become. Updated model runs and official briefings through the morning of the 10th remain the key variables that could refine the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,895Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Chengdu driven by a cold front and widespread rainfall arriving September 8–10, shifting conditions from prior highs near 34°C to a much cooler, cloud-covered regime. Official guidance points to a daily maximum near 22–23°C on the 10th amid persistent overcast skies, moderate northerly winds, and periods of rain that suppress surface heating. Numerical models show close agreement on the overall drop yet vary slightly on exact peak timing and rainfall intensity, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C. Historical September averages for the region hover near 26–28°C, underscoring how atypical this synoptic pattern has become. Updated model runs and official briefings through the morning of the 10th remain the key variables that could refine the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,895Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Chengdu driven by a cold front and widespread rainfall arriving September 8–10, shifting conditions from prior highs near 34°C to a much cooler, cloud-covered regime. Official guidance points to a daily maximum near 22–23°C on the 10th amid persistent overcast skies, moderate northerly winds, and periods of rain that suppress surface heating. Numerical models show close agreement on the overall drop yet vary slightly on exact peak timing and rainfall intensity, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C. Historical September averages for the region hover near 26–28°C, underscoring how atypical this synoptic pattern has become. Updated model runs and official briefings through the morning of the 10th remain the key variables that could refine the final observed high before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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