Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high near 30–31°C on September 11, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 30–31°C under light southerly flow and negligible cloud cover, well above the 27.5°C climatological average for the date. Recent cooling after early-September heat (peaks near 37°C) has given way to this more moderate but still above-normal pattern, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts expected to alter heating rates. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs that rarely exceed 32°C this late in the season.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid l'11 settembre?
31°C 64%
30°C 26%
32°C 12%
29°C 2%
NUOVO
$15,675 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,675 Vol.
11 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
26%
31°C
64%
32°C
12%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 64%
30°C 26%
32°C 12%
29°C 2%
NUOVO
$15,675 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,675 Vol.
11 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$1,683 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$950 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$445 Vol.
1%
28°C
$623 Vol.
1%
29°C
$651 Vol.
2%
30°C
$4,927 Vol.
26%
31°C
$3,327 Vol.
64%
32°C
$1,628 Vol.
12%
33°C
$480 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
35°C o superiore
$721 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high near 30–31°C on September 11, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 30–31°C under light southerly flow and negligible cloud cover, well above the 27.5°C climatological average for the date. Recent cooling after early-September heat (peaks near 37°C) has given way to this more moderate but still above-normal pattern, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts expected to alter heating rates. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs that rarely exceed 32°C this late in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,675Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high near 30–31°C on September 11, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 30–31°C under light southerly flow and negligible cloud cover, well above the 27.5°C climatological average for the date. Recent cooling after early-September heat (peaks near 37°C) has given way to this more moderate but still above-normal pattern, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts expected to alter heating rates. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs that rarely exceed 32°C this late in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,675Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high near 30–31°C on September 11, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 30–31°C under light southerly flow and negligible cloud cover, well above the 27.5°C climatological average for the date. Recent cooling after early-September heat (peaks near 37°C) has given way to this more moderate but still above-normal pattern, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts expected to alter heating rates. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs that rarely exceed 32°C this late in the season.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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